Abstract

AimsEarly diagnosis of cystic fibrosis (CF) related diabetes (CFRD) is important to improve outcomes. International guidelines recommend an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) for all CF patients aged ≥10years — this approach is controversial. The aim of this study was to develop an effective screening tool and reduce the need for a universal OGTT. MethodsAdult CF patients (without CFRD) attending an annual review assessment were recruited prospectively (March 2009–July 2012) into two sequential studies — a primary investigative study followed by validation study. All patients underwent an OGTT and were simultaneously screened by predetermined biochemical/clinical criteria to identify their risk of CFRD. A sensitivity/specificity analysis was performed using the World Health Organisation diabetes criteria as gold standard; modifications were made to improve the screening tool's accuracy and determine the optimal screening thresholds. This was tested in the validation study. Results429 patients (primary, n=94; validation, n=335: mean age=31.7±10.4(SD), 43% female, 77% on pancreatic supplements). Primary study: in predicting a positive OGTT, the test sensitivity was 66.7% and specificity 60%. HbA1c was carried over to the validation study as it was the most discriminative (optimal threshold ≥5.8% (40mmol/mol); receiver operating curve, ROC, score 0.60). Validation study: the number of patients with a normal, impaired and diabetic OGTT was 268(80%), 51(15.2%) and 16(4.8%), respectively. HbA1c provided a test sensitivity, specificity and ROC score of 93.8%, 53.0% and 0.73, respectively. ConclusionsThe use of HbA1c≥5.8%(40mmol/mol) is an effective tool for CFRD screening and reduced the need for an OGTT by 50.7%.

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