Hazard and Risk Assessment and Mitigation for Objects of Critical Infrastructure

Abstract

This chapter presents the basic definitions of hazard and risk assessment and mitigation for objects of critical infrastructure. The problem of investigation and assessment of risks, stability, vulnerability and survivability of large-scale systems (LSS) has been formulated. Approaches to the solution of a problem of assessing an abnormal situation in the a priori (pre-crisis, crisis) situation in the similar systems and construction of the system of its state indicators. The concept of rational distribution resources. The priority ranking that belongs to critical infrastructure (as exemplified by the fuel and energy complex facilities) has been discussed. The ranking algorithm as applied to similar facilities, which is based on their systemic value for the LSS, has been suggested. Besides, the algorithm for forming the ranked list of different types of facilities. In addition, the approaches to solving problems of analysis and risk management for critical infrastructure objects of LSS that allow making informed decisions on the rational allocation of funds for their protection are outlined. The noted features of situational management in the understanding of the management process as a process of transfer of information flows from one subject to another. It is shown that the selected persons can be described by including them in a broad, understandable category using special questionnaires. It is noted that such a questionnaire introduces systematicity in the process of apprehension in the analysis of assessed situations. It is shown that if there is sufficiently representative statistics on some criterion (for example, bad/good, regular/freelance, etc.), then using the support vector method, you can define rules in the automatic section of the stream. Consider an example of practical application of the method to the problem of risk prequalification of counterparties.