Abstract

This study aimed to describe how haemoglobin trajectories in pregnant Australian women were associated with subsequent postpartum haemorrhage, blood transfusion and other outcomes. The study was conducted in two tertiary public hospitals in Australia, using routinely collected maternity and hospital data on singleton pregnancies (2011-2015). Latent class growth modelling defined trajectories among those with at least one haemoglobin in each of three antenatal time periods (0-15, 16-30 and 31+weeks; n=7104). Observed over expected ratios were calculated after predicting expected outcomes with adjusted logistic regression. The mean minimum haemoglobin levels across the three periods were 127·9, 116·5 and 119·3g/l. We identified seven groups of women with similar haemoglobin trajectories: five with parallel U-shaped trajectories, one with increasing and one with decreasing trajectory. Thirty-eight women (0.5%) had very low haemoglobin across the pregnancy and the highest adverse outcomes, including higher than expected blood transfusion risk. One hundred thirteen women (1.6%) with a progressively decreasing trajectory also had higher risk of transfusion. Women with high haemoglobin across the antenatal period had higher than expected risk of preterm birth, small for gestational age and infants transferred to higher care. Haemoglobin trajectories across pregnancy can predict women at higher risk of requiring transfusion around birth. Women who maintain high haemoglobins across the pregnancy are worthy of increased surveillance as they carry increased risks of newborn morbidity.

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