Haemodynamically Derived Pulmonary Artery Pulsatility Index Predicts Mortality in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Abstract

Pulmonary artery (PA) pulsitility index (PAPi) is a novel haemodynamic index shown to predict right ventricular failure in acute inferior myocardial infarction and post left ventricular assist device surgery. We hypothesised that PAPi calculated as [PA systolic pressure - PA diastolic pressure]/right atrial pressure (RAP) would be associated with mortality in the National Institutes of Health Registry for Primary Pulmonary Hypertension (NIH-RPPH). The impact of PAPi, the Pulmonary Hypertension Connection (PHC) risk score, right ventricular stroke work, pulmonary artery capacitance (PAC), other haemodynamic indices, and demographic characteristics was evaluated in 272 NIH-RPPH patients using multivariable Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. In the 272 patients (median age 37.7+/-15.9years, 63% female), the median PAPi was 5.8 (IQR 3.7-9.2). During 5years of follow-up, 51.8% of the patients died. Survival was markedly lower (32.8% during the first 3years) in PAPi quartile 1 compared with the remaining patients (58.5% over 3years in quartiles 2-4; p<0.0001). The best multivariable CPH survival model included PAPi, the PHC-Risk score, PAC, and body mass index (BMI). In this model, the adjusted hazard ratio for death with increasing PAPi was 0.946 (95% CI 0.905-0.989). The independent ROC areas for 5-year survival based on bivariable logistic regression for PAPi, BMI, PHC Risk, and PAC were 0.63, 0.62, 0.64, and 0.65, respectively (p<0.01). The ROC area for 5-year survival for the multivariable logistic model with all four covariates was 0.77 (p<0.0001). Pulmonary artery pulsatility index was independently associated with survival in PAH, highlighting the utility of PAPi in combination with other key measures for risk stratification in this population.