Abstract

Abstract Studies based on GCM ensemble forecasts have shown that an intensification of the cross-equatorial Hadley circulation associated with a latitudinal displacement of the zonally averaged convective heating in the Tropics can lead to remote warming in the winter high latitudes. This work further investigates this tropical–extratropical connection in a perpetual winter experiment using an idealized GCM without orography to focus on the role of transient eddies, and tests against observations using a multiyear reanalysis produced by the Goddard Earth Observing System-Version 1 (GEOS-1) Data Assimilation System. The GCM results show that the intensification and poleward expansion of the cross-equatorial Hadley cell induced by a tropical heating shift can lead to westerly acceleration in the winter subtropics and enhanced vertical shear of the zonal wind in the subtropics and midlatitudes. The increased baroclinicity outside the Tropics is accompanied by reduced meridional temperature and potential vort...

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