Abstract

Peripheral populations often experience more extreme environmental conditions than those in the centre of a species' range. Such extreme conditions include habitat loss, defined as a reduction in the amount of suitable habitat, as well as habitat fragmentation, which involves the breaking apart of habitat independent of habitat loss. The ‘threshold hypothesis’ predicts that organisms will be more affected by habitat fragmentation when the amount of habitat on the landscape is scarce (i.e., less than 30%) than when habitat is abundant, implying that habitat fragmentation may compound habitat loss through changes in patch size and configuration. Alternatively, the ‘flexibility hypothesis’ predicts that individuals may respond to increased habitat disturbance by altering their selection patterns and thereby reducing sensitivity to habitat loss and fragmentation. While the range of Canada lynx (Lynx canadensis) has contracted during recent decades, the relative importance of habitat loss and habitat fragmentation on this phenomenon is poorly understood. We used a habitat suitability model for lynx to identify suitable land cover in Ontario, and contrasted occupancy patterns across landscapes differing in cover, to test the ‘threshold hypothesis’ and ‘flexibility hypothesis’. When suitable land cover was widely available, lynx avoided areas with less than 30% habitat and were unaffected by habitat fragmentation. However, on landscapes with minimal suitable land cover, lynx occurrence was not related to either habitat loss or habitat fragmentation, indicating support for the ‘flexibility hypothesis’. We conclude that lynx are broadly affected by habitat loss, and not specifically by habitat fragmentation, although occurrence patterns are flexible and dependent on landscape condition. We suggest that lynx may alter their habitat selection patterns depending on local conditions, thereby reducing their sensitivity to anthropogenically-driven habitat alteration.

Highlights

  • Populations occurring at the periphery of a species’ geographic range often occupy habitats that are of lower overall quality, leading to reduced survival, reproduction and population density, compared to populations in the core of the range [1]

  • Models differed with respect to the relative importance of overall features, with the literature-based model suggesting that land cover was only slightly (1.04 times) more important than development stage whereas expert opinion suggesting that development stage was substantially (1.20 times) more important than land cover type

  • Our results confirm that lynx are not sensitive to habitat fragmentation at low levels of suitable habitat, and suggest that lynx display considerable flexibility in habitat selection patterns, supporting the ‘flexibility hypothesis’

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Summary

Introduction

Populations occurring at the periphery of a species’ geographic range often occupy habitats that are of lower overall quality, leading to reduced survival, reproduction and population density, compared to populations in the core of the range [1]. Animals may respond with more flexible habitat selection patterns, enabling them to move among variable environments to enhance their fitness [5] This flexibility should increase species’ persistence in landscapes experiencing anthropogenic change, such as in areas subject to high fragmentation. Much of our perception of how wide-ranging species respond to these landscape-scale processes is speculative, especially in peripheral populations where both occurrences and their detection probability are often limited. This shortcoming is especially relevant because as landscapes continue to be altered by anthropogenic disturbance, many species are faced with declines in range size [6]. An improved understanding of the effects of habitat loss and fragmentation on species occurrence patterns will enhance our understanding of how these processes may impact species distributions

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