Grupos de riesgo de recidiva bioquímica tras prostatectomía radical de la Asociación Europea de Urología: validación externa e identificación de factores de riesgo de progresión y mortalidad

Abstract

BackgroundThe EAU proposed a progression and death risk classification in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy (PR). ObjectiveTo validate the EAU BCR-risk classification in our setting and to find factors related to progression and death. Material and methodsMulticenter, retrospective, observational study including 2140 patients underwent RP between 2011 and 2015. Patients with BCR were identified and stratified in low risk (PSA-DT>1 yr and pGS <8) or high-risk (PSA-DT <=1 yr or pGS=>8) grouping. PSA and metastatic free survival (PSA-PFS, MFS), cancer specific survival and overall survival were calculated (Kaplan Meier curves and log-rank test). Independent risk factors were identified (Cox regression). Results427 patients experienced BCR (32.3% low-risk and 67.7% high-risk). Median PSA-PFS was 135.0 mo (95% CI 129.63-140.94) and 115.0 mo (95% CI 104.02-125.98) (p < .001), for low and high-risk groups, respectively. There was also significant differences in MFS and overall survival. The EAU BCR risk grouping was independent factor for PSA-progression (HR 2.55, p 0.009). Time from PR to BCR, was an independent factor for metastasis onset (HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.18-0.99; p 0.044) and death (HR 0.17, 95% CI 0.26.0.96; 23 p 0.048). Differences in MFS (p 0.001) and cancer specific survival (p 0.004) were found for <12, ≥12-<36 and≥36 months from PR to BCR. Others independent factors were early salvage radiotherapy and PSA at BCR. ConclusionsHigh-risk group is a prognostic factor for biochemical progression, but it has a limited accuracy on MP and death in our setting. The inclusion of other factors could increase its predictive power.