Growth rates of subclinical abdominal aortic aneurysms—implications for review and rescreening programmes

Abstract

One hundred and six patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) of 2.5 to 3.9 cm in anteroposterior diameter were reexamined by ultrasound every 6 months for up to 3 years after diagnosis. Annual growth rates were 0.11 cm +/- 0.03 (mean +/- SE) for AAAs 2.5 to 2.9 cm and 0.29 cm +/- 0.08 for AAAs 3.5 to 3.9 cm (P = 0.002). In 73 patients (69%) the annual rate of increase in diameter was 0.2 cm or less and only 12 aneurysms (11%) grew at more than 0.5 cm per annum. We conclude that: (1) for AAAs less than 4.0 cm diameter remeasurement more often than every 6 months is unnecessary; (2) interval screening (rescreening) for AAAs more frequently than 5 yearly is unlikely to detect sufficient clinically significant aneurysms to be worthwhile.