Groundwater heavy metal(loid)s risk prediction based on topsoil contamination and aquifer vulnerability at a zinc smelting site

Abstract

Groundwater pollution is a recurrent problem in abandoned non-ferrous metal smelting sites, and its severity is influenced by topsoil contamination, hydrogeological characteristics, and hydrogeochemical conditions. In such unique areas, traditional methods for evaluating groundwater pollution risk are biased, as the long production history of these sites have led to highly polluted and heterogeneous soil and groundwater. Herein, based on a typical lead-zinc smelting site, As, Pb, Zn, Cd, Mn, and Ni were found to be the predominant heavy metal (loid)s in groundwater, with respective exceedance rates of 44.4%, 50.0%, 72.2%, 88.9%, 88.9%, and 61.1%. Combined with the groundwater pollution characteristics, the representative hydrogeochemical factors were screened out to optimize the following aquifer vulnerability evaluation using the AHP-DRASTICH method. A comprehensive evaluation model (DI-NCPI) for groundwater pollution risk was established by combining the DRASTICH index (DI) obtained after optimization and the Nemerow comprehensive contamination index (NCPI) of topsoil. The fit between DI-NCPI and groundwater heavy metal (loid) pollution index reached 0.956, which laterally confirms that the model has some reference value. In terms of distribution, the high-risk and very high-risk zones were mainly concentrated in the zinc smelting system, located in the southeastern and central-western parts of the site. These areas have relatively high levels of topsoil contamination and aquifer vulnerability and require focused attention in site remediation. This research highlights the importance of combining topsoil contamination and aquifer vulnerability to evaluate groundwater pollution risk in smelting areas. It provides a more targeted reference for groundwater remediation strategies in abandoned smelting sites, as well as severely polluted industrial areas.