Ground subsidence in major Philippine metropolitan cities from 2014 to 2020

Abstract

Land subsidence is recognized as one of the hazards that threaten Metro Manila, Philippines, and other major urban areas worldwide. It has become a significant global issue caused by excessive groundwater extraction, rapid urbanization, and natural sediment compaction, exacerbated by climate change through rising sea levels. This paper presents vertical ground motion rates in Philippine metropolitan cities using Sentinel-1 InSAR time series analysis from 2014 to 2020 through UK COMET’s LiCSAR products and the LiCSBAS package of Morishita et al. (2020). The results revealed a maximum subsidence rate of 109 mm/yr in Bulacan Province in Greater Manila. For the first time, this paper also presents ground motion estimates and the following maximum subsidence rates for other Philippine metropolitan cities: 11 mm/yr in Metro Cebu, 38 mm/yr in Metro Davao, 9 mm/yr in Metro Iloilo, and 29 mm/yr in Legazpi City. Areas with remarkably high subsidence rates are observed as circular to elliptical deformation features in vertical motion maps. Sinking areas mostly coincide with industrial and commercial complexes evident as a contiguous distribution of large and expansive man-made structures with distinct radar reflections. Monitoring this hazard is crucial as it increases the risk of floods, building and infrastructure damage, and economic loss, and exposes residents along the coast to worsening tidal incursions and storm surges due to climate change. InSAR is proposed here as a targeted, long-term deformation monitoring tool, especially related to groundwater usage.