Ground-glass opacity score predicts the prognosis of anti-MDA5 positive dermatomyositis: a single-centre cohort study

Abstract

ObjectiveDermatomyositis (DM) positive with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (anti-MDA5-DM) is a systemic autoimmune disease with high mortality. This study aimed to explore the risk factors of death in anti-MDA5-DM and validate a prediction model for all-cause mortality in anti-MDA5-DM.MethodWe conducted a retrospective study using a single-centre cohort of patients with newly onset anti-MDA5-DM from June 1, 2018 to August 31, 2021. Patients were divided into four groups according to baseline ground-glass opacity (GGO) score: Group A, GGO ≤ 1; Group B, 1 < GGO ≤ 2; Group C, 2 < GGO ≤ 3; Group D, GGO > 3. The primary outcome was death during the follow-up. Secondary outcomes included death within 3, 6, 12 months, severe infection, and remission during the first 12 months.ResultsA total of 200 patients were included in the study. Based on multivariable Cox regression, the prognostic factors at baseline were identified as CRP > 5 mg/L, serum ferritin (SF) > 600ng/ml, positive anti-Ro52 antibody, prophylactic use of compound sulfamethoxazole (SMZ Co), four-category GGO score: GGO ≤ 1, 1 < GGO ≤ 2, 2 < GGO ≤ 3, GGO > 3. The final mortality of four groups was 16.4, 22.2, 48.5, 92.0%, respectively. Compared with Group A, the Hazards Ratio (HR) of Group B was 1.408, (p = 0.408), HR of Group C was 3.433 (p = 0.005), HR of Group D was 4.376 (p = 0.001).ConclusionsGGO score is a reliable predictor for risk stratification in anti-MDA5-DM and may provide guidance for individualized managements of patients.