Ground-Air Traffic Congestion Propagation Model Based on Hierarchical Control Interdependent Network

Abstract

A multilayer network approach to model and analyze air traffic networks is proposed. These networks are viewed as complex systems with interactions between airports, airspaces, procedures, and air traffic flows (ATFs). A topology-based airport-airspace network and a flight trajectory network are developed to represent critical physical and operational characteristics. A multilayer traffic flow network and an interrelated traffic congestion propagation network are also formulated to represent the ATF connection and congestion propagation dynamics, respectively. Furthermore, a set of analytical metrics, including those of airport surface (AS), terminal controlled airspace (TCA), and area-controlled airspace (ACA), is introduced and applied to a case study in central and south-eastern China. The empirical results show the existence of a fundamental diagram of the airport, terminal, and intersections of air routes. Moreover, the dynamics and underlying mechanisms of congestion propagation through the AS-TCA-ACA network are revealed and interpreted using the classical susceptible-infectious-removed model in a hierarchical network. Finally, a high propagation probability among adjacent terminals and a high recovery probability are identified at the network system level. This study provides analytical tools for comprehending the complex interactions among air traffic systems and identifies future developments and automation of layered coupled air traffic management systems.