Abstract

This dissertation is aimed at generating new knowledge on Recurrent Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (RenFIS) and to explore its application in building automation. Inferential sensing is an attractive approach for modeling the behavior of dynamic processes. Inferential sensor based control strategies are applied to optimize the control of residential heating systems and demonstrate significant energy saving and comfort improvement. Despite the rapidly decreasing cost and improving accuracy of most temperature sensors, it is normally impractical to use a lot of sensors to measure the average air temperature because the wiring and instrumentation can be very expensive to install and maintain. To design a reliable inferential sensor, of fundamental importance is to build a simple and robust dynamic model of the system to be controlled. This dissertation presents the development of an innovative algorithm that is suitable for the robust black-box model. The algorithm is derived from ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) and is referred to as RenFIS. Like all other modelling techniques, RenFIS performance is sensitive to the training data. In this study, RenFIS is used to model two different heating systems, hot water heating system and forced warm-air heating system. The training data is collected under different operational conditions. RenFIS gives better performance if trained with the data set representing overall qualities of the whole universe of the experimental data. The robustness analysis is conducted by introducing simulated noise to the training data. Results show that RenFIS is less sensitive than ANFIS to the quality of training data. The RenFIS based inferential sensor is then applied to design and inferential control algorithm that can improve the operation of residential heating systems. In current practice, the control of heating systems is based on measurement of the air temperature at one point within the building. The inferential control strategy developed through this study allows the control to be based on an estimate of the overall thermal performance. This is achieved through estimating the average room temperature using a RenFIS based inferential sensor and incorporating the estimate with conventional control technology. The performance of this control technology has been investigated through simulation study.

Highlights

  • This dissertation is concerned with the design and development of recurrent hybrid neurofuzzy based modelling environment and training algorithm for the inferential models

  • It shows that as fraction-error increases from 25% to 100%, root mean square error (RMSE) increases resulting in a decrease in predictive accuracy

  • Data quality analysis results show that the errors in the training data as well as in the testing data affect the predictive accuracy of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) based soft sensors

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Summary

Introduction

This dissertation is concerned with the design and development of recurrent hybrid neurofuzzy based modelling environment and training algorithm for the inferential models. RenFIS is used to build an inferential model that estimates the average room temperature in multiple zone heating systems, as it is theoretically easy but practically expensive to measure this variable. Soft sensing is an attractive technique for modelling the dynamic behavior of the space heating systems, providing practical methods for estimating the value of the critical control variables that are otherwise difficult, if not impossible, to measure using conventional physical sensors. Bansal et al studied the effect of errors in the test data on the predictions made by neural network and linear regression models [126]. The research concluded that the error size had a statistically significant effect on the predictive accuracy of both linear regression and neural network models. Global increase in CO2 concentrations are due primarily to fossil fuel use

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