Abstract
Significance Trump also highlighted the labour union support that the USMCA eventually gained: after months of talks and changes to the agreement, the AFL-CIO -- the largest US union federation -- supported the deal, which Congress then passed with large bipartisan majorities. Impacts The USMCA may marginally increase Trump’s re-election chances and the Democrats' prospects of keeping the House in November. Climate change could become a major issue in US talks with China and India. If a Democrat wins the presidency, the new US Trade Representative would likely include climate impacts in all major negotiations. Depending on the specifics of any trade agreement, firms could face more pressure to be greener.
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