Gravity wave variations and contributions to stratospheric sudden warming using long-term ERA5 model output

Abstract

This work analyzed ERA5 (ECMWF ReAnalysis) data from 1979 to 2018 to study changes in stratospheric gravity waves (GWs) associated with stratospheric sudden warming (SSWs). GW variations are examined by separating them into polar vortex split and displacement events. In general, GW amplitudes show enhancements prior to the wind reversal at 10 hPa and 60°N and reductions after the wind reversal. GW enhancements are larger during polar vortex split events compared to displacement events, likely due to the location of the polar vortex and background wind conditions. Locations of GW enhancements are different between split events and displacement events and these locations correlate with the locations of polar vortex edge where background wind is strong. GW drag (GWD) and Eliassen-Palm (EP) flux divergences are also analyzed to understand GW contributions to occurrences of SSWs. Our results indicate maximum GWD prior to SSWs are ~18% of the total drag, and timing of eastward zonal wind weakening is coincident with enhancements of westward GWD. These results indicate that although the main driver of SSWs are planetary waves, GWs can contribute to the occurrences of SSWs.