Abstract

Appropriate industrial agglomeration has several benefits, including reducing environmental pollution, promoting innovation and enhancing grain green total factor productivity (GTFP). It is an effective strategy for promoting high-quality and sustainable development in the grain industry. In this study, the slacks-based measure of the global Malmquist–Luenberger (SBM-GML) model is used to estimate China's grain GTFP using the panel data of 31 provinces from 2001 to 2020. Furthermore, a dynamic spatial econometric model is employed to empirically investigate the impact of grain industry agglomeration on grain GTFP and its regional heterogeneity. The results show that GTFP exhibits a fluctuating growth tendency, with advancements in green technology serving as the primary engine of that expansion. (2) The deepening of grain industrial agglomeration has a long-term promoting effect on the grain GTFP of local and neighbouring areas, with the long-term effect being more significant than the short-term effect, as revealed by the dynamic spatial Durbin model. (3) According to the heterogeneity analysis, industrial agglomeration's impact on grain GTFP is most noticeable in the production and sales balance. Therefore, encouraging regional cooperation and communication while raising the grain industrial agglomeration standard is crucial. The degree of regional economic growth, the state of the agricultural infrastructure and the conditions of the natural resources should all be considered by policymakers when developing distinct and focused policy assistance for each region.

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