Grading Cytologic Epithelial Atypia in Pancreatic Mucinous Cysts Predicts Patient Survival: Correlation With Histologic, Molecular, and Clinical Follow-Up

Abstract

Cytologic examination of epithelial cells in cyst fluids from pancreatic mucinous cysts is the optimal method for identifying high-grade atypia (HGA), which may represent histologic high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or invasive carcinoma and thereby classify the cyst as high risk, warranting surgical resection. Cytologic features of HGA were previously described at our institution in 2013 and implemented thereafter, but performance of grading with these criteria has not yet been reported. In total, 1322 pancreatic cyst fluid specimens (2014-2021) were identified; all pathology reports and relevant clinical data were reviewed in detail; and 230 unique cysts (217 patients) contained neoplastic mucinous epithelium. Of the 230 cysts, 178 had low-grade atypia (LGA), and 52 had HGA. Ninety-seven cysts had histologic follow-up: 77 (79%) were resections and 20 (21%) were diagnostic surgical biopsies only. Moreover, 92 (95%) were confirmed neoplastic mucinous cysts, 3 were adenocarcinomas, and 2 were benign entities. Among histologically confirmed neoplastic mucinous cysts, 58 had low-grade dysplasia (LGD); 34 had HGD, of which 14 also had invasive carcinoma. A significantly higher proportion of cysts with HGA (63%) demonstrated at least HGD on follow-up compared to those with LGA (26%, P < .001). The sensitivity and specificity of HGA for accurately classifying a high-risk cyst were 54% and 81%, respectively. Of the 230 cysts, 146 (64%) cysts had corresponding next-generation sequencing results; 31% of HGA cysts harbored a high-risk mutation (TP53, CDKN2A, and/or SMAD4) vs 7% of LGA cysts (P < .001). Among cysts without histologic confirmation, 25% of HGA cysts had high-risk mutation vs 7% of LGA cysts. The grade of cytologic atypia was predictive of overall survival and recurrence-free survival (P < .001 and P = .020, respectively). Implementation of cytologic criteria for HGA in pancreatic mucinous cysts has relatively low sensitivity but modest specificity for classifying a high-risk cyst. Although high-risk mutations were more commonly found in cysts with HGA, their frequency is overall low. Thus, evaluating the degree of cytologic atypia, which is predictive of patient survival, provides significant value and informs patient outcomes.