Abstract
Population urbanization is crucial to establishing a harmonious society. However, the phenomenon of population semi-urbanization is becoming an issue of ever-increasing concern in China. More and more immigrants from rural areas work and live in the city, but their roots remain in the rural area. This paper aims to analyze the influence mechanism of government competition on population semi-urbanization through land supply structure. The study’s theoretical analysis and empirical analysis results are based on the panel data of 105 key prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2017. The results demonstrate that: (1) land finance and land-motivated investment engendered by government competition lead to an imbalance in the land price structure, further increasing the rate of population semi-urbanization; (2) land finance does not lead to population semi-urbanization through the land area structure; and (3) land-motivated investment aggravates the imbalance in the land area structure, further leading to population semi-urbanization. It is found that government competition in terms of achieving performance indicators affects population semi-urbanization by adjusting the land supply structure. Efforts should be made to achieve the coordinated development of urbanization, given that the increasing rate of population semi-urbanization will almost certainly aggravate social instability.
Highlights
According to the United Nations Population Division, by 2030, the urban population of developing countries will exceed the rural population; by 2050, two-thirds of the population of these countries may live in urban areas
Taking the land price structure as the intermediary variable to investigate the impact of land finance on population semi-urbanization, the regression results in Table 3 show that the increase of land finance brings about population semi-urbanization, and that one standard deviation of land finance increase will increase the rate of population semi-urbanization by
Based on land transfer data in 105 cities in China from 2007 to 2017, and combining cities’ permanent population data and registered population data, this paper examines the impact of land supply structure on the semi-urbanization of the population under conditions of local government competition
Summary
According to the United Nations Population Division, by 2030, the urban population of developing countries will exceed the rural population; by 2050, two-thirds of the population of these countries may live in urban areas. China has, itself, experienced a series of problems in the process of urbanization, e.g., a soaring population and environmental pollution directly caused by uncontrolled land use [5,6,7,8]. Especially in English language articles, have provided relatively limited commentary on the semi-urbanization of China’s population, with no study of this semi-urbanization from the perspective of land supply. Some exceptions contribute primarily to the description of problems arising in the process of China’s urbanization. Analyzing the cause mechanism of the semi-urbanization of China’s population, from the perspective of land supply, remains a gap that urgently requires further investigation. The current paper aims to fill this gap so as to contribute useful insights in dealing with the challenges generated by the process of urbanization
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