Governing green change to improve resilience by assessing urban risks for localizing nature based solutions in fast sprawling Dehradun, India

Abstract

Considering the increasing disaster risks, vulnerability and reduced resilience across Himalayas due to urban sprawling, our study attempts to understand the crucial environmental concerns in the valley town of Dehradun. We assessed the long-term risks due to the rise in population density, changing land use patterns, land surface temperature, groundwater shortage, air pollution concerns, vegetation loss and concretization using remote sensing tools. Results reveal the deleterious impact of urban sprawling affecting different wards of the city, with the burgeoning population pressure in the central part of the city (200 people per hectare (pph)) while, peripheral areas have lesser pressure (4 pph) but projected to rise. Loss of vegetation for development across the city has resulted in insufficient and unequal distribution of green spaces. The builtup area increased from 23.63 to 59.78 % after the city became the state capital has led to the increased heat islands and surface temperature (21.23–25.53 °C). Depleting groundwater levels in erstwhile water sufficient wards of Raipur (01), Shastradhara (02) and Adhoiwala N (28) is alarming. Increasing air pollutants (P.M.10, SO2 and NO2) and the risk of urban floods are severe for 10 wards. Dehradun city seems to be at tipping point about to cross its bearing capacity, any additional pressure may have serious repercussions for city residents. City municipal corporation along with diverse stakeholder groups need to mainstream Nature based Solutions, designing and implementing ward specific customized solutions for addressing societal challenges according to Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and the UN SDG 11.