Global geologic expert system and database for predicting carbonate reservoirs from seismic: Application to the Upper Jurassic

Abstract

Carbonate systems are influenced by a great variety of physical and biological controlling factors that operate from global to local scales. The resulting intrinsic complexity of carbonate platforms makes them difficult to predict, especially when data are limited. Predicting geologic geometries and properties based on limited sampling or uncalibrated seismic data generally relies on a priori knowledge and equivocal interpretations that are marked by geologist perception and personal experience. To overcome these uncertain interpretations of such a complex natural system, which can become critical in frontier exploration, we developed an expert system that relies on a process-based method and a standardized data set using normalized information and parameters. The main innovation relies on the realization of knowledge- and process-based synthetic carbonate stratigraphic architectures that support seismo-stratigraphic interpretations. The workflow consists of four steps: (1) bibliographic compilation of a geologic database for each case study supported by quantitative parameters (e.g., sedimentation duration and thickness) and qualitative parameters (geodynamic context, seismic architecture, and facies model); (2) statistical analyses to establish consistent geologic classes and spatiotemporal trends; (3) process-based modeling to simulate stratigraphic architectures associated with carbonate sedimentation processes in a physically constrained numerical environment and testing different geologic hypotheses; and (4) realization of a predictive palaeogeographic map representing the global distribution of carbonate stratigraphic architectures, and estimation of controlling parameters for unconstrained case studies. The expert system is based on 77 case studies of Upper Jurassic carbonate platforms, which reveal the resemblance of these carbonate systems, in response to uniform global palaeoclimatic conditions and sea level. Significant local differences in stratigraphic architectures are related to specific geodynamic contexts and subsidence trends. The thickest carbonate platforms are developed in extensive/passive geodynamic settings such as the Central Atlantic Ocean margins, while thinner platforms form in intra- and peri-cratonic settings such as those of the Arabian region.