Abstract

In this paper, we study a time-periodic model, which incorporates seasonality and host stage-structure. This model describes the propagation of Puumala hantavirus within the bank vole population of Clethrionomys glareolus. The basic reproduction number R0 is obtained. By appealing to the theory of monotone dynamical systems and chain transitive sets, we establish a threshold-type result on the global dynamics in terms of R0, that is, the virus-free periodic solution is globally attractive, and the virus dies out if R0 ≤ 1, while there exists a unique positive periodic solution, which is globally attractive, and the virus persists if R0 > 1. Numerical simulations are given to confirm our theoretical results and to show that cleaning environment and controlling the grow of mice population are essential control strategies to reduce hantavirus infection.

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