Global crustacean stock assessment modelling: Reconciling available data and complexity

Abstract

AbstractDespite their growing socio‐economic importance globally, relatively little is understood about how crustacean stocks are assessed, which has potential to compromise fishery sustainability, especially under heavy exploitation and environmental changes. To inform stock assessment model application for emergent fisheries, we evaluated model use for crustacean stocks available in the RAM Legacy Database (RAMLDB) and the evolution of model use for four case‐study fisheries, emphasizing the relationship between data availability and model complexity. Differences in model use between FAO fishing regions and crustacean species sub‐groups were identified. Only 60.9% of crustacean stocks in the RAMLDB identified the model used for assessment. For the remaining stocks, we collected ancillary data to fill the information gaps, amounting to 92.5% of crustacean stocks in RAMLDB. Of these, model complexity varied from count‐based to environmentally explicit statistical catch‐at‐length methods, but tended to be data intensive, likely due to biases towards regions with more developed fishery management programmes. Furthermore, regional comparisons indicated that crustaceans are only well‐assessed in a few geographical hotspots. The progression of model use over time was inconsistent between case‐study fisheries, being driven by myriad factors including data availability, confidence in biological processes and ecological considerations. Our findings can be used as a resource to help inform model choice for fisheries management. Towards the goal of seeking global best practices for crustacean stock assessments, future work should address knowledge gaps in regional stock assessment model use and conduct comparative studies to evaluate stock‐specific costs and benefits relating to model complexity.