Abstract

Abstract. We apply GENMOM, a coupled atmosphere–ocean climate model, to simulate eight equilibrium time slices at 3000-year intervals for the past 21 000 years forced by changes in Earth–Sun geometry, atmospheric greenhouse gases (GHGs), continental ice sheets, and sea level. Simulated global cooling during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) is 3.8 °C and the rate of post-glacial warming is in overall agreement with recently published temperature reconstructions. The greatest rate of warming occurs between 15 and 12 ka (2.4 °C over land, 0.7 °C over oceans, and 1.4 °C globally) in response to changes in radiative forcing from the diminished extent of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheets and increases in GHGs and NH summer insolation. The modeled LGM and 6 ka temperature and precipitation climatologies are generally consistent with proxy reconstructions, the PMIP2 and PMIP3 simulations, and other paleoclimate data–model analyses. The model does not capture the mid-Holocene "thermal maximum" and gradual cooling to preindustrial (PI) global temperature found in the data. Simulated monsoonal precipitation in North Africa peaks between 12 and 9 ka at values ~ 50% greater than those of the PI, and Indian monsoonal precipitation peaks at 12 and 9 ka at values ~ 45% greater than the PI. GENMOM captures the reconstructed LGM extent of NH and Southern Hemisphere (SH) sea ice. The simulated present-day Antarctica Circumpolar Current (ACC) is ~ 48% weaker than the observed (62 versus 119 Sv). The simulated present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) of 19.3 ± 1.4 Sv on the Bermuda Rise (33° N) is comparable with observed value of 18.7 ± 4.8 Sv. AMOC at 33° N is reduced by ~ 15% during the LGM, and the largest post-glacial increase (~ 11%) occurs during the 15 ka time slice.

Highlights

  • The history of the climate system over the past 21 000 years reflects the combined changes in Earth–Sun orbital geometry, atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (GHGs; see Table A1 for list of abbreviations and acronyms), the extent of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheets, and sea level

  • Consistent with previous Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) studies using comparable (Braconnot et al, 2007a) and higher-resolution (Kim et al, 2007; Unterman et al, 2011) climate models, from 21 through 9 ka, the western edge of the Cordilleran Ice Sheet diverts the LGM winter polar jetstream, resulting in one branch that is weaker than PI over the Gulf of Alaska and the western and central regions of the ice sheet and a second branch to the south of the ice sheet that is stronger than the PI

  • We have presented a suite of multi-century equilibrium climate simulations with GENMOM for the past 21 000 years at 3000-year intervals

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Summary

Introduction

The history of the climate system over the past 21 000 years reflects the combined changes in Earth–Sun orbital geometry, atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations (GHGs; see Table A1 for list of abbreviations and acronyms), the extent of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheets, and sea level. The effect of the ice sheets on climate progressively diminished from the LGM to the early Holocene as global warming driven by increasing GHGs combined with changes in NH summer insolation to accelerate ice sheet ablation. Abrupt departures from the comparatively smooth transition from the LGM through the Holocene, such as Heinrich and Dansgaard–Oeschger events, the Bølling– Allerød (BA), and the Younger Dryas (YD), are evident in geologic records, and these events likely influenced the overall trajectory of the deglaciation

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