Abstract
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Highlights
The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2010 project is a massive effort to systematically describe the epidemiology of a wide array of major diseases, injuries and risk factors
Efforts to address the deficiencies have already been initiated and we can look forward to even more reliable estimates in the future. That this analysis provides estimates rather than definitive numbers; and it’s about relative contributions to medical problems. Does it really matter if the estimates of cardiovascular deaths globally, for example, are out by a million – the uncertainty interval on the estimate2? And does it matter if these errors result in ischaemic heart disease being second in the list of causes of death rather than first in the list? What these estimates do tell us is the relative size of the burden: that cardiovascular disease accounts for vastly more deaths worldwide than, for example, infectious disease
What sort of things can we learn from GBD 2010? Cardiovascular diseases account for 30% of all deaths worldwide
Summary
The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2010 project is a massive effort to systematically describe the epidemiology of a wide array of major diseases, injuries and risk factors. That this analysis provides estimates rather than definitive numbers; and it’s about relative contributions to medical problems Does it really matter if the estimates of cardiovascular deaths globally, for example, are out by a million – the uncertainty interval on the estimate2? Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) such as ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease and respiratory disorders, are responsible for 65.5% of deaths, and much more disability, than the traditional infectious diseases This might be a positive benefit from research into infectious diseases (vaccines and disease control) through initiatives like the Gates Foundation.
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