Abstract

Monitoring global land cover changes is important because of concerns about their impact on environment and climate. The release by the European Space Agency (ESA) of a set of worldwide annual land cover maps covering the 1992–2015 period makes possible a quantitative assessment of land change on the global scale. While ESA land cover mapping effort was motivated by the need to better characterize global and regional carbon cycles, the dataset may benefit a broad range of disciplines. To facilitate utilization of ESA maps for broad-scale problems in landscape ecology and environmental studies, we have constructed a GIS-based vector database of mesoscale landscapes – patterns of land cover categories in 9 km × 9 km tracts of land. First, we reprojected ESA maps to the Fuller projection to assure that each landscape in the database has approximately the same size and shape so the patterns of landscapes at different locations can be compared. Second, we calculated landscape attributes including its compositions in 1992 and 2015, magnitude of pattern change, categories transition matrix for detailed characterization of change, fractional abundances of plant functional types (PFTs) in 1992 and 2015, and change trend type – a simple, overall descriptor of the character of landscape change. Combining change trends and change magnitude information we constructed a global, thematic map of land change; this map offers a visualization of what, where, and to what degree has changed between 1992 and 2015. The database is SQL searchable and supports all GIS vector operations. Using change magnitude attribute we calculated that only 22% of total landmass experienced significant landscape change during the 1992–2015 period, but that change zone accounted for 80% of all pixel-based transitions. Dominant land cover transitions were forest → agriculture followed by agriculture → forest. Using PFTs attributes to calculate global aggregation of gross and net changes for major PFTs yielded results in agreement with other recent estimates.

Highlights

  • Land-cover change is a pervasive phenomenon caused by changing climate, and, in recent decades, by the rapid population growth and accelerated industrialization (Goldewijk et al, 2017)

  • We focus on alternative, pattern-based approach to assessing land change using the Climate Change Initiative (CCI)-LC

  • The CCI-LC team is focused on changes to the land cover from the point of view of modeling the climate change

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Summary

Introduction

Land-cover change is a pervasive phenomenon caused by changing climate, and, in recent decades, by the rapid population growth and accelerated industrialization (Goldewijk et al, 2017). Li et al (2018) has performed such assessment from a perspective of the utility of CCI-LC to climate change models They investigated whether CCI-LC is sufficient to be implemented in land surface models (LSM) to better characterize global and regional carbon cycles. The t1 → t2 transition matrix provides characterization of landscape change This layer of information is analogous to what has been calculated by Li et al (2018) but is provided at a finer spatial resolution as it is not intended for LSMs. To provide checks on our results we calculate compositions of PFTs at t1 and t2 for each landscape so we can compare gross and net land changes with the values published by Li et al (2018). The result is a global thematic map of change which visualizes a global spatial distribution of different land changes in a single map – a compact summarization of what, where, and to what degree has changed between 1992 and 2015

Data and methods
Calculating attributes of change for each local landscape
Results
Discussion and conclusions

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