Abstract
Abstract“It's what happens on the pitch that matters,” said Adi Preissler and Otto Rehhagel, former German footballers and coaches, in some oft‐quoted words of football wisdom. Statistically, the German national side managed by Jogi Löw is 6.5 times more likely than an “average” team to finally bring home the title again. Here is a scientific approach to a World Cup forecast that uses a few mathematical tricks and computer simulations.
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