Abstract

The Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI) is a simple and validated tool used to assess the nutritional status of elderly patients and predict the risk of short-term postoperative complications, as well as the long-term prognosis, after cancer surgery. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of GNRI for the long-term postoperative prognosis in elderly patients with primary non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) who underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT). We retrospectively analyzed data from 292 elderly patients with primary NMIBC. Using X-tile software, we divided the cohort into two groups based on GNRI and determined the cut-off value for postoperative recurrence-free survival (RFS). Propensity score matching (PSM) with a ratio of 1:3, Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank test, and COX proportional hazards regression were used to assess the correlation between GNRI and prognosis and identify factors predicting recurrence and progression. In the entire cohort, the 3year recurrence group had significantly lower GNRI compared to the 3year non-recurrence group (P = 0.0109). The determined GNRI cut-off value was 93.82. After PSM, the low GNRI group had significantly lower RFS (P < 0.0001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.0040) than the high GNRI group. Multivariate COX regression showed that GNRI independently predicted RFS (HR 2.108; 95% CI 1.266-3.512; P = 0.004) and PFS (HR 2.155; 95% CI 1.135-4.091; P = 0.019) in elderly patients with primary NMIBC. Preoperative GNRI is a prognostic marker for disease recurrence and progression in elderly patients with primary NMIBC undergoing TURBT.

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