Geomorphological transformations and future deformation estimations of a large potential landslide in the high-order position area of Diexi, China

Abstract

Landslides in high-order position areas pose a serious threat to residents located below such areas. Therefore, research on the evolution process and underlying dynamic mechanisms is crucial. The majority of relevant studies are based on landslides that have already occurred; however, the investigation of potential landslides is of higher value. In this study, a progressive potential landslide identification method is proposed with the application of SBAS-InSAR (Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar) and subsequently combined with Google Earth, GF-1 (Gaofen-1), GF-2 (Gaofen-2), ZY-3 (Ziyuan-3) and UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) imagery, and DEM (Digital Elevation Model) for further validation. The proposed method is employed to determine the potential landslide in Tuanjiecun by integrating the multi-period data to simultaneously analyze the evolution and mechanism of the potential landslide. The long short-term memory method is then adopted to predict the evolution trend based on accumulative deformation from SBAS-InSAR. The results suggest that the deformation of Tuanjiecun potential landslide will increase to −238.57 mm. This article provides a new approach for disaster prevention and mitigation by determining a potential landslide using composite remote sensing and predicting the development of the potential landslide on indirect contact monitoring.