Geomorphic Modelling Application for Geospatial Flood Hazards and Flash Flood Thresholds Forecasting

Abstract

In this chapter, a geomorphic modelling is presented and as a tool for geospatial flood hazard and flash flood thresholds forecasting in drainage basins. The flash flood thresholds have been estimated in terms of flash flood guidance values for the various tributary watersheds of a drainage basin considered. It has been demonstrated using the Limpopo drainage basin in southern Africa. This transboundary basin was chosen because of its importance to water supply for the growing population and water demands in its four riparian states. The basin is also subject to frequent flood and drought hazards. Even though, well established hydrological and flood frequency models do exist for flood forecasting, the purpose of this manuscript is to produce indicative flash flood guidance from a drainage basin of diverse regional development and intensive catchment land-use land cover dynamics by shading light on the geospatial portrayal of flood producing determinants. This will be important in lieu of the need for designing flood forecasting and flood early warning systems for this basin which is subject to frequent flooding hazards. Recommendations on flood forecasting and mitigation of flood hazards is provided considering the technical, human capital and institutional challenges that exist in this part of Africa.