Abstract

Summary Natural gas hydrate (NGH) is regarded as an important alternative future energy resource. In recent years, a few short-term production tests have been successfully conducted with both permafrost and marine sediments. However, long-term hydrate production performance and the potential geomechanical problems are not very clear. According to the available geological data at the Mallik site, a more realistic hydrate reservoir model that considers the heterogeneity of porosity, permeability, and hydrate saturation was developed and validated by reproducing the field depressurization test. The coupled multiphase and heat flow and geomechanical response induced by depressurization were fully investigated for long-term gas production from the validated hydrate reservoir model. The results indicate that long-term gas production through depressurization from a vertically heterogeneous hydrate reservoir is technically feasible, but the production efficiency is generally modest, with the low average gas production rate of 4.93 × 103 ST m3/d (ST represents the standard conditions) over a 1-year period. The hydrate dissociation region is significantly affected by the reservoir heterogeneity and reveals a heterogeneous dissociation front in the reservoir. The depressurization production results in significant increase of shear stress and vertical compaction in the hydrate reservoir. The response of shear stress indicates that the potential region of sand migration is mainly in the sand-dominant layer during gas production from the hydraulically heterogeneous hydrate reservoir (e.g., sand layers interbedded with clay layers). The maximum subsidence is approximately 78 mm and occurred at the 72nd day, whereas the final subsidence is slowly dropped to 63 mm after 1-year of depressurization production. The vertical subsidence is greatly dependent on the elastic properties and the permeability anisotropy. In particular, the maximum subsidence increased by approximately 81% when the ratio of permeability anisotropy was set at 5:1. Furthermore, the potential shear failure in the hydrate reservoir is strongly correlated to the in-situ stress state. For the normal fault stress regime, the greater the initial horizontal stress is, the less likely the hydrate reservoir is to undergo shear failure during depressurization production.

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