Geography of asbestos contamination near the World Trade Center site

Abstract

Despite the dust cleanup and indoor air testing program led by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and offered to all residents of Lower Manhattan (south of Canal Street), concern remains about local chemical residues from the collapse of the World Trade Center (WTC) buildings. Data on post-cleanup indoor airborne asbestos concentration, available from EPA Region 2, were analyzed to assess the possibility that the WTC site is the source of geographically concentrated rare post-cleanup exceedances of the health-based standard for asbestos. Recognizing that these rare exceedances may be attributable to sources other than the WTC disaster, and that these sources are very likely to exhibit geographic patterns, the data were analyzed using a spatial filter specification of the auto-Poisson probability model. Our analysis shows that ignoring geographic patterns latent in these exceedances affects the empirical probability of exceeding the health-based standards for airborne asbestos. We did not find any statistically-significant geographic pattern in the exceedance events that would indicate the WTC site as the source of the post-cleanup exceedances. Apparent geographic patterns may be due to the geographic variability in sampling intensity. Our analysis indicates the Residential Dust Cleanup Program lead by EPA Region 2 has been effective at reducing the concentration of air-borne asbestos in indoor air to below the health-based benchmark.