Abstract
BackgroundThe use of multiple genetic backgrounds across years is appealing for genomic prediction (GP) because past years’ data provide valuable information on marker effects. Nonetheless, single-year GP models are less complex and computationally less demanding than multi-year GP models. In devising a suitable analysis strategy for multi-year data, we may exploit the fact that even if there is no replication of genotypes across years, there is plenty of replication at the level of marker loci. Our principal aim was to evaluate different GP approaches to simultaneously model genotype-by-year (GY) effects and breeding values using multi-year data in terms of predictive ability. The models were evaluated under different scenarios reflecting common practice in plant breeding programs, such as different degrees of relatedness between training and validation sets, and using a selected fraction of genotypes in the training set. We used empirical grain yield data of a rye hybrid breeding program. A detailed description of the prediction approaches highlighting the use of kinship for modeling GY is presented.ResultsUsing the kinship to model GY was advantageous in particular for datasets disconnected across years. On average, predictive abilities were 5% higher for models using kinship to model GY over models without kinship. We confirmed that using data from multiple selection stages provides valuable GY information and helps increasing predictive ability. This increase is on average 30% higher when the predicted genotypes are closely related with the genotypes in the training set. A selection of top-yielding genotypes together with the use of kinship to model GY improves the predictive ability in datasets composed of single years of several selection cycles.ConclusionsOur results clearly demonstrate that the use of multi-year data and appropriate modeling is beneficial for GP because it allows dissecting GY effects from genomic estimated breeding values. The model choice, as well as ensuring that the predicted candidates are sufficiently related to the genotypes in the training set, are crucial.
Highlights
The use of multiple genetic backgrounds across years is appealing for genomic prediction (GP) because past years’ data provide valuable information on marker effects
Multilocation field trial data in breeding programs are often analyzed by year and not over years because: (i) it is simpler and faster, and (ii) it is difficult to accurately estimate variation across years, partly because few if any genotypes are common between breeding cycles
In order to put the different models to a realistic test, we evaluated them under scenarios representing common practice in breeding programs, i.e., in different relatedness scenarios and top-yield selection scenarios, where different fractions of genotypes with top-yield performance in the training set (TS) were selected
Summary
The use of multiple genetic backgrounds across years is appealing for genomic prediction (GP) because past years’ data provide valuable information on marker effects. Our principal aim was to evaluate different GP approaches to simultaneously model genotype-by-year (GY) effects and breeding values using multi-year data in terms of predictive ability. The models were evaluated under different scenarios reflecting common practice in plant breeding programs, such as different degrees of relatedness between training and validation sets, and using a selected fraction of genotypes in the training set. If GY effects are not properly modeled, the genomic prediction procedure will divert part of the marker information into prediction of the GY interaction effects rather than the GEBV. This situation poses the main challenge when combining data across years
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
