Abstract

Accurate prediction of prostate cancer clinical courses remains elusive. In this study, we performed whole genome copy number analysis on leukocytes of 273 prostate cancer patients using Affymetrix SNP6.0 chip. Copy number variations (CNV) were found across all chromosomes of the human genome. An average of 152 CNV fragments per genome was identified in the leukocytes from prostate cancer patients. The size distributions of CNV in the genome of leukocytes were highly correlative with prostate cancer aggressiveness. A prostate cancer outcome prediction model was developed based on large size ratio of CNV from the leukocyte genomes. This prediction model generated an average prediction rate of 75.2%, with sensitivity of 77.3% and specificity of 69.0% for prostate cancer recurrence. When combined with Nomogram and the status of fusion transcripts, the average prediction rate was improved to 82.5% with sensitivity of 84.8% and specificity of 78.2%. In addition, the leukocyte prediction model was 62.6% accurate in predicting short prostate specific antigen doubling time. When combined with Gleason’s grade, Nomogram and the status of fusion transcripts, the prediction model generated a correct prediction rate of 77.5% with 73.7% sensitivity and 80.1% specificity. To our knowledge, this is the first study showing that CNVs in leukocyte genomes are predictive of clinical outcomes of a human malignancy.

Highlights

  • Prostate cancer is one of the leading causes of death for men in the United States

  • Two-sided t test showed a strong correlation between the size of Copy number variations (CNV) in leukocytes and prostate cancer recurrence (p = 2.2 x 10−16), suggesting that the size of germ line CNV may play a significant role in predisposing prostate doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0135982.g003

  • The results indicate that the gene-based prediction model is unlikely to succeed in the leukocyte CNV analysis but size distribution of CNVs can be predictive

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Summary

Introduction

Prostate cancer is one of the leading causes of death for men in the United States. It has considerable heterogeneity in biological aggressiveness and clinical prognosis[1,2,3]. Since the implementation of serum PSA screening, the clinical detection rate of prostate cancer has been increased substantially due primarily to the identification of small, low grade cancers that.

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