Abstract

Identification of new genetic markers may improve the prediction of colorectal cancer prognosis. Our objective was to examine genome-wide associations of germline genetic variants with disease-specific survival in an analysis of 16,964 cases of colorectal cancer. We analyzed genotype and colorectal cancer-specific survival data from a consortium of 15 studies. Approximately 7.5 million SNPs were examined under the log-additive model using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for clinical factors and principal components. Additionally, we ran secondary analyses stratifying by tumor site and disease stage. We used a genome-wide p-value threshold of 5 × 10–8 to assess statistical significance. No variants were statistically significantly associated with disease-specific survival in the full case analysis or in the stage-stratified analyses. Three SNPs were statistically significantly associated with disease-specific survival for cases with tumors located in the distal colon (rs698022, HR = 1.48, CI 1.30–1.69, p = 8.47 × 10–9) and the proximal colon (rs189655236, HR = 2.14, 95% CI 1.65–2.77, p = 9.19 × 10–9 and rs144717887, HR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.57–2.58, p = 3.14 × 10–8), whereas no associations were detected for rectal tumors. Findings from this large genome-wide association study highlight the potential for anatomical-site-stratified genome-wide studies to identify germline genetic risk variants associated with colorectal cancer-specific survival. Larger sample sizes and further replication efforts are needed to more fully interpret these findings.

Highlights

  • Identification of new genetic markers may improve the prediction of colorectal cancer prognosis

  • The significant variants identified among proximal colon tumors were located on chromosomes 12 and 14

  • Both variants were low frequency (MAF 1.4% and 1.5%, respectively) and neither were in linkage disequilibrium (LD; defined as ­R2 > 0.6) with nearby variants

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Summary

Introduction

Identification of new genetic markers may improve the prediction of colorectal cancer prognosis. Associated with disease-specific survival for cases with tumors located in the distal colon (rs698022, HR = 1.48, CI 1.30–1.69, p = 8.47 × 1­ 0–9) and the proximal colon (rs189655236, HR = 2.14, 95% CI 1.65–2.77, p = 9.19 × 1­ 0–9 and rs144717887, HR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.57–2.58, p = 3.14 × 1­ 0–8), whereas no associations were detected for rectal tumors Findings from this large genome-wide association study highlight the potential for anatomical-site-stratified genome-wide studies to identify germline genetic risk variants associated with colorectal cancer-specific survival. Germline genetic variants are commonly investigated as candidate prognostic markers; they are abundant in the human genome, are polymorphic among patients, are thought to remain unchanged over time, and may biologically modify disease characteristics and risk of progression or clinical ­outcomes[19,20,21]. While these studies have advanced the knowledge of the genetic basis of CRC survival, they have been limited by relatively small number of cases, restricting the ability to identify modest associations or low frequency risk variants, which may only be apparent when large case cohorts are examined

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