Genetic Risk Scores for the Determination of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) in North India

Abstract

Globally, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is one of the fastest-growing noncommunicable multifactorial and polygenic diseases, which leads to many health complications and significant morbidity and mortality. South Asians have a high genetic predisposition to T2DM, with India being home to one in six diabetics. This study investigates the association of selected genetic polymorphisms with T2DM risk and develops a polygenic risk score (PRS). A case-control study recruited fully consented participants from a population of Jat Sikhs in north India. DNA samples were genotyped for a range of polymorphisms and odds ratios were calculated under several genetic association models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were produced for combinations of the PRS and clinical parameters. The GSTT1(rs17856199), GSTM1(rs366631), GSTP1(rs1695), KCNQ1(rs2237892), ACE(rs4646994), and TCF7L2(rs12255372; rs7903146; rs7901695) polymorphisms were associated with increased T2DM risk (p ≤ 0.05). No association was observed with IGF2BP2(rs4402960) or PPARG2(rs1801282). The weighted PRS was found to be significantly higher in patients (mean = 15.4, SD = 3.24) than controls (mean = 11.9, SD = 3.06), and t(454) = -12.2 (p < 0.001). The ROC curve analysis found the weighted PRS in combination with clinical variables to be the most effective predictor of T2DM (area under the curve = 0.844, 95%CI = 0.0.808-0.879). Several polymorphisms were associated with T2DM risk. PRS based on even a limited number of loci improves the prediction of the disease. This may provide a useful method for determining T2DM susceptibility for clinical and public health applications.