Abstract

Conduct problems in children and adolescents can predict antisocial personality disorder and related problems, such as crime and conviction. We sought an explanation for such predictions by performing a genetic longitudinal analysis. We estimated the effects of genetic, shared environmental, and unique environmental factors on variation in conduct problems measured at childhood and adolescence and antisocial personality problems measured at adulthood and on the covariation across ages. We also tested whether these estimates differed by sex. Longitudinal data were collected in the Netherlands Twin Register over a period of 27 years. Age appropriate and comparable measures of conduct and antisocial personality problems, assessed with the Achenbach System of Empirically Based Assessment, were available for 9783 9–10-year-old, 6839 13–18-year-old, and 7909 19–65-year-old twin pairs, respectively; 5114 twins have two or more assessments. At all ages, men scored higher than women. There were no sex differences in the estimates of the genetic and environmental influences. During childhood, genetic and environmental factors shared by children in families explained 43 and 44% of the variance of conduct problems, with the remaining variance due to unique environment. During adolescence and adulthood, genetic and unique environmental factors equally explained the variation. Longitudinal correlations across age varied between 0.20 and 0.38 and were mainly due to stable genetic factors. We conclude that shared environment is mainly of importance during childhood, while genetic factors contribute to variation in conduct and antisocial personality problems at all ages, and also underlie its stability over age.

Highlights

  • Conduct problems in children and adolescents and antisocial personality problems in adults involve a variety of repetitive and persistent behaviors that violate the rights of others or societal norms or rules, such as aggression to people, destruction of property, theft, or violations of rules [1]

  • The aim of the present study was to elucidate the genetic architecture of conduct and antisocial personality problems by analyzing a large longitudinal data set with observations of 9–10-year-old twins, 13–18-year-old twins, and 19–65-year-old twins

  • Our aim was to explore the genetic architecture of conduct and later antisocial personality problems in childhood, adolescence problems, and adulthood in a unique longitudinal twin data set, collected over a period of over 27 years

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Summary

Introduction

Conduct problems in children and adolescents and antisocial personality problems in adults involve a variety of repetitive and persistent behaviors that violate the rights of others or societal norms or rules, such as aggression to people, destruction of property, theft, or violations of rules [1]. Twin studies allow the estimation of influences of genetic, shared, and unique environmental factors on individual differences in behavior and on stability over ages. Meta-analyses of these studies have estimated the proportion of the variation explained by genetic factors to be between 32 and 60% for children, between 45 and 50% for adolescents, and one meta-analysis provided a heritability estimate of 49% for adults [10,11,12,13]. The remaining variation, that is not due to genetics or the shared environment, is attributed to unique environmental influences, which includes measurement error. All meta-analyses agree upon the importance of genetic factors, and agree upon a lower estimate for the contribution of shared environment

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