Abstract

A new approach for reliability-based optimization of water distribution networks is presented. The approach links a genetic algorithm (GA) as the optimization tool with the first-order reliability method (FORM) for estimating network capacity reliability. Network capacity reliability in this case study refers to the probability of meeting minimum allowable pressure constraints across the network under uncertain nodal demands and uncertain pipe roughness conditions. The critical node capacity reliability approximation for network capacity reliability is closely examined and new methods for estimating the critical nodal and overall network capacity reliability using FORM are presented. FORM approximates Monte Carlo simulation reliabilities accurately and efficiently. In addition, FORM can be used to automatically determine the critical node location and corresponding capacity reliability. Network capacity reliability approximations using FORM are improved by considering two failure modes. This research demonstrates the novel combination of a GA with FORM as an effective approach for reliability-based optimization of water distribution networks. Correlations between random variables are shown to significantly increase optimal network costs.

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