Abstract
The Capacity Outage Probability Table (COPT) is a common analytical model for the generation adequacy evaluation. A recursive algorithm can be used to form the COPT which demonstrates arrays of capacity levels of generation with their probabilities of occurrence. Determine the number of states in a COPT is critical because more states means a higher modelling accuracy and also a longer computation time. The Fuzzy C-means is an effective approach to reduce the number of states in the COPT while maintain calculation accuracy. In this paper, the Fuzzy C-means approach is adopted, and the generation adequacy evaluation with wind farms is conducted using historical hourly wind speed data of St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. The study results are demonstrated using Roy Billinton Test System (RBTS).
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