Gate-to-Gate Energy Consumption in Chemical Batch Plants: Statistical Models Based on Reaction Synthesis Type

Abstract

Energy consumption in the chemical industry is an important operating cost and environmental impact factor and reducing it is also explicitly mentioned as one of the key principles of green chemistry. Energy consumption has thus been included in diverse process design and evaluation tools as a key metric. However, measurements of energy consumption at the process equipment level are scarce, especially in fine chemical production typically performed in multiproduct and multipurpose batch plants. In this work, we present a shortcut approach based on statistical models, such as probability density functions (PDF) and classification trees, for estimating steam consumption which typically represents the highest energy utility consumption in batch plants. The output of these models is in the form of intervals derived from PDF interquartile ranges and as classes derived from the classification trees, respectively. The validation results (i.e., goodness of fit, cross validation, and case studies) show that the mo...