Abstract

Obesity and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are known risk factors for gastrointestinal (GI) cancers. However, GI carcinogenesis in lean NAFLD patients remains unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to investigate the association between lean NAFLD and GI cancer risk. PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched (from inception date to April 2023) for cohort studies assessing GI cancers in lean (body mass index [BMI] < 25 kg/m2 or < 23 kg/m2 in Asians) and non-lean (BMI ≥25 kg/m2 or ≥ 23 kg/m2 in Asians) NAFLD individuals. Data from eligible studies were extracted, and meta-analysis was carried out using a random effects model to obtain risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup analyses, meta-regressions and sensitivity analyses were also performed. This study was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023420902). Eight studies with 56,745 NAFLD individuals (11% were lean) and 704 cases of incident GI cancers were included. Lean NAFLD was associated with higher risk of hepatic (RR 1.77, 95% CI 1.15-2.73), pancreatic (RR 1.97, 95% CI 1.01-3.86) and colorectal cancers (RR 1.53, 95% CI 1.12-2.09), compared to non-lean NAFLD. No significant differences were observed for oesophagus, gastric, biliary and small intestine cancers. This study shows that lean NAFLD patients have an increased risk of liver, pancreatic and colorectal cancers compared to non-lean NAFLD patients, emphasizing the need to explore tailored cancer prevention strategies for this specific patient group. Further research is required to explore the mechanisms underlying the association between lean NAFLD and specific GI cancers.

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