Abstract

The emergence of risks of different nature and growing uncertainty in the tourist sphere require revision of the decision-making process. A serious role in raising the quality of decision-making is given to economic cybernetics and in particular, to its section called the theory of games, whose methods and models are used more and more widely. Within the frames of the article specific features of economic situation description were studied that need game modeling, the game model of the principle level was built, which gives an opportunity to compare different strategies of decision-makers, who develop tourist products with regard to seasons and possible distribution of demand. Results of implementing different criteria of analyzing the game with nature allow us to come to the conclusion about a high sensitivity of optimum strategy to the information situation of decision-making, which makes the goal of its extra research more and more topical. The proposed scheme of bringing the task of choosing the optimum strategy aimed at providing the tourist product to the game model can be useful for resolving a lot of applied problems arising in the tourist field, including conditions of continuous pandemic restrictions and declining the travel flow. The scheme includes plotting numerous strategies of the hotel manager that take into account the available resources, identification of natural circumstances and appraisal of their implementation possibility, estimation of profit chances, which can be obtained from selling tourist product in different conditions. The author pays special attention to the necessity to develop model notions of students at economics universities by introducing applied theoretical and game models in professional training.

Full Text
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