Gaining Consensus Around Patient Risk Groups and Prognostic Profiles to Guide CMV Management Among Patients With Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant: Insights From a Delphi Panel With Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant Experts

Abstract

This study aimed to characterize patient risk groups and prognostic profiles to optimize clinical decision-making and guide appropriate medical cytomegalovirus (CMV) management among patients with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT). Between 8/2021 and 2/2022, a 3-round modified Delphi study was conducted to generate consensus among 10 international experts in HSCT and infectious diseases. Experts were asked about treatment and prognoses for patients in 7 distinct clinical scenarios. Furthermore, experts were asked to risk-stratify patients by pre-/post-transplant characteristics. Consensus around opting for/against a treatment was observed if ≥75% or <25% of experts reported ≥50% likelihood to recommend or if treatments were ranked inside/outside the top 2 options and ≥75% of experts were within 1 SD of mean ranks. Experts agreed on several unmet needs in CMV disease management post-HSCT, particularly avoidance of treatment-limiting toxicities with conventional CMV therapy and the emergence of both refractory and drug-resistant treatment failures. Experts considered CMV viral load, resistance profile, and route of administration as critical to treatment selection. For newer CMV therapeutic options, experts listed a lack of long-term use data, concerns over potential resistance, high cost, and limited availability as challenges restricting adoption and successful patient management. Experts achieved consensus around patient risk stratifications and factors influencing therapeutic options. Recommendations emerging from this Delphi study may support practicing physicians when confronted with challenging CMV scenarios in patients with HSCT.