Gaidai multivariate risk assessment method for cargo ship dynamics

Abstract

ABSTRACT Contemporary cargo vessel transport constitutes a vital part of the global trade and economy. Thus, it is of primary engineering and design importance to further develop more efficient novel risk analysis and risk assessment methods for large cargo ships. Classical risk assessment and risk analysis methodsmay not always have advantages of efficiently dealing with dynamic system’s high dimensionality along with cross-correlations between various critical dimensions. Current study benchmarks state-of-art Gaidai spatiotemporal structural risk assessment method, suitable for multivariate structural dynamic systems versus a well-established bivariate risk assessment method. As an example, for this risk assessment study, an operating container vessel has been selected. The vessel hull had been subjected to large deck panel stresses and accelerations during cross-Atlantic sailing. Risks of losing cargo containers are caused by extreme dynamics being one of the primary concerns for vessel cargo transport. Gaidai multivariate risk assessment methodology, advocated here, opens up new possibilities of predicting efficiently, yet simply potential structural damage/failure risks for nonstationary, nonlinear, multivariate cargo ship dynamic systems, as a whole. Note that advocated novel multivariate risk assessment method may be applied to a wide range of complex marine and offshore engineering systems.