Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making on Water Resources Projects Case Study: Ranking Water Transfers to Zayanderud Basin in Iran

Abstract

In this study, in order to create a decision-making model on water resources projects, a hierarchy of criteria has been developed by public participation. The Value Management methodology has been used for extraction of the effective criteria and attributes in the scope of Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM). The hierarchy is generic for water resources management in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Since the evaluations of alternatives with respect to some attributes are uncertain and vague, fuzzy set theory has been used. By merging fuzzy set theory and multi-attribute decision-making a new Decision Support System (DSS), namely FDM, has been developed to compare different alternatives. As an innovation, FDM accepts evaluations of alternatives with respect to the attributes as crisp variables, fuzzy variables, and linguistic variables. FDM embodies an expert system whose duty is to choose an appropriate method among the SAW, Fuzzy SAW, TOPSIS or Fuzzy TOPSIS based on the characteristics of the problem. The central and Southeastern regions of Iran are considered arid regions, suffering from water shortages. In this paper, water transfers to the Zayanderud basin in Iran have been modeled by FDM. Successful application of this DSS in this study allows for its application by water authorities in other case studies.