Fuzzy logic based automatic rule generation and forecasting of time series

Abstract

An algorithm is proposed that automatically generates the fuzzy rules from time series data and can subsequently be used for forecasting of the same time series. The effectiveness of the algorithm, measured by the performance indices such as the sum squared error (SSE), root mean squared error (RMSE/MSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE), is demonstrated on forecasting of chaotic time series, as well as on forecasting of homogeneous non-stationary time series with and without seasonality and trend components.