Abstract

In an electric utility, it would be necessary to predict and make a future view of electric energy strategy for long-term generation expansion planning. The planning problem of energy strategy is formulated as a decision problem of electric generation mix in a future horizon year. This problem is a sort of multiobjective planning problems under several constraints of which parameters are uncertain. The objectives and constraints need not be fulfilled rigorously but the violation tolerated by a decision-maker. That Is, they can be regarded as fuzzy objectives and fuzzy constraints, this paper presents the fuzzy decision analysis of strategic generation mix planning problems using a fuzzy linear programming technique and some numerical examples for a future power system are demonstrated.

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