Fuzzy Cognitive Map for Evaluating Critical Factors Causing Rockbursts in Underground Construction: A Fundamental Study

Abstract

The rockburst phenomenon in excavation endeavours reveals a multitude of complexities and obstacles that significantly impact both the technical and financial dimensions of project execution. Investigating critical rockburst factors in underground excavations is of considerable importance for addressing pivotal safety issues and operational complexities within the field of underground excavation projects. This research proposes an innovative approach based on an expert-based fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) framework, aiming to identify and prioritize the key critical rockburst factors prevalent in underground excavations and tunnelling. A tailored cognitive map of the parameters of problem was constructed, integrating 56 critical and critical factors meticulously curated by a team of seasoned managers, engineers, deputy managers, trainee engineers and assistant managers. The structured cognitive map was meticulously developed, considering the relative weights of the identified critical factors and their intricate interrelationships—all informed by the invaluable insights and expertise of seasoned engineers in the field. Subsequently, the cognitive map underwent a systematic solution process, whereby the causal relationships and influences amongst the identified critical factors were analysed and factored in. The outcomes of the comprehensive analysis unveiled several critical factors: lack of rockburst risk assessments, high in situ stress, presence of rock seams and weak layers, rock quality variations, and geological heterogeneity as the most paramount concerns demanding immediate attention and strategic intervention. By adopting the proposed FCM approach and leveraging the collective expertise of industry professionals, this research offers a robust and systematic framework for comprehensively assessing and addressing the key challenges associated with rockburst events in underground excavations and tunnelling projects, thereby fostering enhanced project performance and efficacy within the field.