Abstract

The present study was undertaken to forecast the future of dairy entrepreneurial ecosystem for a short term, medium term and long term in the state of Kerala (India) during 2020-21;owing to the high ranks of the state in dairy progressiveness, production systems and marketing infrastructure. Delphi survey was used to project the future into conceivable scenarios. Four likely scenarios were estimated for each period based on the important driving factors and their probability of occurrence ofchange. The constant factor taken to decide the scenario axis for the three periods was ‘dairy entrepreneurial growth’; while for the short term, the second contributing factor was ‘support services’; for medium term it was ‘cooperative sector’; and for the long term, it was ‘advanced technology’. The study presented the narration of the scenarios which can be utilized by policymakers and planners to design in advance the appropriate modifications and interventions to develop dairy entrepreneurship; and thereby create a desirable dairy entrepreneurial ecosystem for the state in the future.

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