Future climates of the world: a modelling perspective

Abstract

Introduction - climate of the future, A. Henderson-Sellers. Part 1 Geological perspective on future climate: modelling the response of the climate system to astronomical forcing, A. Berger - climates of the past, astronomical theory of paleoclimates, snapshot simulations of past climate, simulations of temporal evolution of climate, transient response of a 2-D climate model to astronomical forcing, future climates under astronomical forcing warmer worlds - global change lessons from Earth history, E.J. Barron - Cretaceous warmth, an alternative warm climate - an Eocene example catastrophe - impact of comets and asteroids, M.R. Rampino - theoretical estimates of impact-induced climate change, evidence of environmental perturbations at the K/T boundary, impact-induced volcanism?, climatic changes caused by flood-basalt eruptions, future climates?. Part 2 Observations of climate and future projection: observations from the surface - projection from traditional meteorological observations, P.D. Jones - development of instrumentation and meteorological observational networks, what surface observations tell us about the last 140 years, the last 140 years in a longer term context, upper air data during the last 40 years, explanations of the instrumental temperature record, projections to the future climatic variability on decadal to century time-scales, H.F. Diaz and G.N. Kiladis - climate variations in the past 1,000 years, possible causes of climatic variability on decadal to century time-scales, climates of the future satellite systems and models for future climate change, R.E. Dickinson - global radiation balance and the role of clouds, land surface properties for climate models, oceans and cryosphere, satellites and future climate dynamics of future climates, B.J. McAvaney and G.J. Holland - future climate dynamics. Part 3 Human factors affecting future climate: the greenhouse effect of trace gases, W.-C. Wang et al - uniformly mixed gases, atmospheric ozone, future climates climatic effcts of changing atmospheric aerosol levels, M.O. Andreae - evidence for the climatic impact of anthropogenic aerosols, the effect of atmospheric aerosols on future climate scenarios ozone depletion, G.P. Brasseur et al - ozone photochemistry, ozone in the polar regions, ozone observations, ozone depletion, ozone changes and the climate systems, increases in ultraviolet radiation due to ozone depletion, policy strategies to protect the ozone layer, issues for research pertaining to future climates human effects on climate through the large-scale impacts of land-use change, A. Henderson-Sellers - human-induced land-use change, land-cover change influences on climate, regional-scale impacts of land-cover change on climate, future land-use change and future climates. Part 4 Geophysiology and future climates: urban climates, H. Cleugh - urban climate processes, current and future urban climates, future urban climates future (Part contents)