Abstract

Background and objectiveAccurate risk stratification is crucial for enabling personalized treatment for head and neck cancer (HNC). Current PET/CT image-based prognostic methods include radiomics analysis and convolutional neural network (CNN), while extracting radiomics or deep features in grid Euclidean space has inherent limitations for risk stratification. Here, we propose a functional-structural sub-region graph convolutional network (FSGCN) for accurate risk stratification of HNC. MethodsThis study collected 642 patients from 8 different centers in The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA), 507 patients from 5 centers were used for training, and 135 patients from 3 centers were used for testing. The tumor was first clustered into multiple sub-regions by using PET and CT voxel information, and radiomics features were extracted from each sub-region to characterize its functional and structural information, a graph was then constructed to format the relationship/difference among different sub-regions in non-Euclidean space for each patient, followed by a residual gated graph convolutional network, the prognostic score was finally generated to predict the progression-free survival (PFS). ResultsIn the testing cohort, compared with radiomics or FSGCN or clinical model alone, the model PETCTFea_CTROI + Cli that integrates FSGCN prognostic score and clinical parameter achieved the highest C-index and AUC of 0.767 (95% CI: 0.759–0.774) and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.774–0.788), respectively for PFS prediction. Besides, it also showed good prognostic performance on the secondary endpoints OS, RFS, and MFS in the testing cohort, with C-index of 0.786 (95% CI: 0.778–0.795), 0.775 (95% CI: 0.767–0.782) and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.772–0.789), respectively. ConclusionsThe proposed FSGCN can better capture the metabolic or anatomic difference/interaction among sub-regions of the whole tumor imaged with PET/CT. Extensive multi-center experiments demonstrated its capability and generalization of prognosis prediction in HNC over conventional radiomics analysis.

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